\BOOKMARK [1][-]{section*.1}{Introduction}{} \BOOKMARK [1][-]{section*.2}{Theory}{} \BOOKMARK [2][-]{section*.3}{Discrete-state Markovian kinetic models}{section*.2} \BOOKMARK [2][-]{section*.4}{Transition probabilities by reweighting}{section*.2} \BOOKMARK [3][-]{section*.5}{Dynamical reweighting}{section*.4} \BOOKMARK [3][-]{section*.6}{Modified parallel tempering protocol}{section*.4} \BOOKMARK [3][-]{section*.7}{Transition probabilities}{section*.4} \BOOKMARK [2][-]{section*.8}{Bayesian estimate of transition probabilities from a single temperature}{section*.2} \BOOKMARK [1][-]{section*.9}{Application to terminally-blocked alanine peptide}{} \BOOKMARK [1][-]{section*.10}{Discussion}{} \BOOKMARK [1][-]{section*.11}{Acknowledgments}{} \BOOKMARK [1][-]{section*.12}{Proof that modified parallel tempering protocol generates canonical distribution}{} \BOOKMARK [1][-]{section*.13}{Estimation of uncertainties in transition probabilities}{}